Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
Stade Rennais FCParis Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC66%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 66%
- Draw 21%
- Stade Rennais FC 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 66.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Stade Rennais FC's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Paris Saint-Germain FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain FC: LDLWW
Stade Rennais FC: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Stade Rennais FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC | 5–0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Stade Rennais FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–4 |
| 2024-09-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes FC | 1–1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Stade Rennes FC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
| 2023-03-19 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes FC | 0–2 |
| 2023-01-15 | Stade Rennes FC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-11 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes FC | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-03 | Stade Rennes FC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.