Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
Stade Rennais FCParis Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 06 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC66%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 66%
- Draw 21%
- Stade Rennais FC 12%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 66.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Stade Rennais FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 186 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DDLWD
Stade Rennais FC: WDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 186 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Stade Rennais FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2–2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Stade Rennais FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC | 5–0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Stade Rennais FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–4 |
| 2024-09-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes FC | 1–1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Stade Rennes FC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
| 2023-03-19 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes FC | 0–2 |
| 2023-01-15 | Stade Rennes FC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-11 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes FC | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC kick off?
- Sat, 06 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.