Stade Brestois 29vs
ES Troyes ACStade Brestois 29 vs ES Troyes AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 12 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stade Brestois 2960%
- Stade Brestois 29 60%
- Draw 25%
- ES Troyes AC 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Stade Brestois 29, rating it at 60.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Stade Brestois 29 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Stade Brestois 29: DLDDL
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-19 | ESTAC Troyes vs Stade Brestois | 2–2 |
| 2022-11-13 | Stade Brestois vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-13 | Stade Brestois vs ESTAC Troyes | 5–1 |
| 2021-12-22 | ESTAC Troyes vs Stade Brestois | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs ES Troyes AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Stade Brestois 29 (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stade Brestois 29 vs ES Troyes AC kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Stade Brestois 29 vs ES Troyes AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.