Toulouse FCvs
ES Troyes ACToulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toulouse FC62%
- Toulouse FC 62%
- Draw 25%
- ES Troyes AC 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Toulouse FC, rating it at 62.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Toulouse FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. ES Troyes AC's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Toulouse FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toulouse FC: WDDDW
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-01 | Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-14 | ESTAC Troyes vs Toulouse | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.