Olympique de Marseillevs
Le Havre ACOlympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille66%
- Olympique de Marseille 66%
- Draw 23%
- Le Havre AC 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 65.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 4 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
Le Havre AC: DWLWL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 4.17Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Le Havre AC vs Olympique de Marseille | 0–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC | 6–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Le Havre AC vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–3 |
| 2025-01-05 | Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC | 5–1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Le Havre vs Marseille | 1–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Marseille vs Le Havre | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.17 goals per game.