Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
Olympique LyonnaisParis Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 25 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win68%
1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 68%.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Draw
- Olympique Lyonnais
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Paris Saint-Germain FC or draw88%
- Draw or Olympique Lyonnais32%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC or Olympique Lyonnais80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.568%
- Under 2.532%
Both teams to score
- Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Olympique Lyonnais, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 67.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL
Olympique Lyonnais: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Olympique Lyonnais vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2–3 |
| 2025-02-23 | Olympique Lyonnais vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2–3 |
| 2024-12-15 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais | 3–1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyonnais | 4–1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Lyonnais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–4 |
| 2023-04-02 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyonnais | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Lyonnais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-09 | Lyonnais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-19 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyonnais | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.