Toulouse FCvs
OGC NiceToulouse FC vs OGC Nice Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toulouse FC41%
- Toulouse FC 41%
- Draw 32%
- OGC Nice 26%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Toulouse FC, rating it at 41.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Toulouse FC won 2 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. OGC Nice's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Toulouse FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toulouse FC: WDDDW
OGC Nice: LLWWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.13Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice | 5–1 |
| 2025-08-16 | OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-25 | OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Toulouse vs OGC Nice | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-26 | OGC Nice vs Toulouse | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-21 | OGC Nice vs Toulouse | 0–0 |
| 2022-08-07 | Toulouse vs OGC Nice | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice?
- Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.13 goals per game.