Arsenal Tulavs
Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionSat, 08 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal Tula46%
- Arsenal Tula
- Draw
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal Tula or draw74%
- Draw or Shinnik Yaroslavl54%
- Arsenal Tula or Shinnik Yaroslavl72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.529%
- Under 2.571%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal Tula, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal Tula, rating it at 46.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Arsenal Tula won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Arsenal Tula's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Shinnik Yaroslavl's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal Tula: WLWLD
Shinnik Yaroslavl: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula | 2–0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Arsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal Tula (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl kick off?
- Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the Arsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.