FC Ural Yekaterinburg crestFC Ural YekaterinburgvsArsenal Tula crestArsenal Tula

FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula Prediction, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionWed, 25 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Ural Yekaterinburg54%

  • FC Ural Yekaterinburg 54%
  • Draw 25%
  • Arsenal Tula 21%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Ural Yekaterinburg, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Ural Yekaterinburg won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Ural Yekaterinburg: DWDWW

Arsenal Tula: DLWDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-29Arsenal Tula vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg2–2
2026-03-15FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula2–0
2025-10-24Arsenal Tula vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg1–2

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FAQ

Who will win FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula?
Tofiko's model favours FC Ural Yekaterinburg (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula kick off?
Wed, 25 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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