Arsenal Tulavs
Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionSat, 10 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal Tula46%
- Arsenal Tula 46%
- Draw 26%
- Spartak Kostroma 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal Tula, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Arsenal Tula won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal Tula: DLWDD
Spartak Kostroma: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal Tula (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.