Arsenal Tula crestArsenal TulavsSpartak Kostroma crestSpartak Kostroma

Arsenal Tula 3-2 Spartak Kostroma — Result, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionFri, 09 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Arsenal Tula39%

Tofiko39% / 26% / 35%
Market39% / 29% / 32%
  • Arsenal Tula
  • Draw
  • Spartak Kostroma

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Arsenal Tula, rating it at 38.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Arsenal Tula won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

Arsenal Tula: WLWLD

Spartak Kostroma: LLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-09Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma3–2
2026-06-21Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma1–1
2026-04-25Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula1–1
2025-09-13Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
Tofiko's model favours Arsenal Tula (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma kick off?
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSpartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula6 Mar 2027 →