Arsenal Tula crestArsenal TulavsSpartak Kostroma crestSpartak Kostroma

Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionFri, 09 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Arsenal Tula46%

Tofiko46% / 26% / 28%
  • Arsenal Tula
  • Draw
  • Spartak Kostroma

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Arsenal Tula, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Arsenal Tula won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Arsenal Tula's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Spartak Kostroma's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Arsenal Tula: LDLLD

Spartak Kostroma: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-06-21Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma1–1
2026-04-25Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula1–1
2025-09-13Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
Tofiko's model favours Arsenal Tula (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma kick off?
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSpartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula6 Mar 2027 →