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Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula Prediction, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionSat, 06 Mar 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Spartak Kostroma47%

Tofiko47% / 26% / 27%
  • Spartak Kostroma
  • Draw
  • Arsenal Tula

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Spartak Kostroma or draw73%
  • Draw or Arsenal Tula53%
  • Spartak Kostroma or Arsenal Tula74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.541%
  • Under 2.559%

Both teams to score

  • Spartak Kostroma, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Arsenal Tula, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Spartak Kostroma, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Spartak Kostroma won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Arsenal Tula's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Spartak Kostroma's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Spartak Kostroma: WLLWW

Arsenal Tula: WLWLD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-09Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma3–2
2026-06-21Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma1–1
2026-04-25Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula1–1
2025-09-13Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula?
Tofiko's model favours Spartak Kostroma (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula kick off?
Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:59 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legArsenal Tula 3-2 Spartak Kostroma9 Oct 2026 →