FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionWed, 25 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Ural Yekaterinburg54%
- FC Ural Yekaterinburg 54%
- Draw 25%
- Arsenal Tula 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Ural Yekaterinburg, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Ural Yekaterinburg won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Ural Yekaterinburg: DWDWW
Arsenal Tula: DLWDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Arsenal Tula vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg | 2–2 |
| 2026-03-15 | FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Arsenal Tula vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Ural Yekaterinburg (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula kick off?
- Wed, 25 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.