Hamilton Academical FCvs
KilmarnockHamilton Academical FC 0-2 Kilmarnock — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish Premiership 2020-2021Sun, 16 May 2021 11:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kilmarnock40%
- Hamilton Academical FC 35%
- Draw 25%
- Kilmarnock 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Kilmarnock, rating it at 40.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and Hamilton Academical FC won 1 of 5. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Kilmarnock's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Hamilton Academical FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Hamilton Academical FC: WLDWL
Kilmarnock: LLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 5Games
- 1.80Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Kilmarnock FC vs Hamilton Academical FC | 1–0 |
| 2021-05-16 | Hamilton Academical FC vs Kilmarnock | 0–2 |
| 2021-01-09 | Kilmarnock vs Hamilton Academical FC | 2–0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Hamilton Academical FC vs Kilmarnock | 1–0 |
| 2020-09-19 | Kilmarnock vs Hamilton Academical FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hamilton Academical FC vs Kilmarnock?
- Tofiko's model favours Kilmarnock (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Hamilton Academical FC vs Kilmarnock kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2021 11:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership 2020-2021.
- What is the Hamilton Academical FC vs Kilmarnock head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.