Kilmarnock FC crestKilmarnock FCvsHeart of Midlothian F.C. crestHeart of Midlothian F.C.

Kilmarnock FC 1-1 Heart of Midlothian F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

Scottish PremiershipSat, 19 Sep 2026 16:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.50%

Tofiko27% / 24% / 50%
Market21% / 23% / 56%
  • Kilmarnock FC
  • Draw
  • Heart of Midlothian F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 49.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Kilmarnock FC won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Heart of Midlothian F.C.'s last 4 produced 11 goals — 2.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Kilmarnock FC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Kilmarnock FC: DWDDL

Heart of Midlothian F.C.: DLWW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.1–1
2026-03-14Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.1–0
2025-12-03Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC1–1
2025-10-18Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.0–3
2025-01-25Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC3–2
2024-12-15Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.1–0
2024-10-30Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC1–2
2024-04-27Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian FC0–0
2024-03-30Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock1–1
2023-12-02Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian FC0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 16:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureHeart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock2 Jan 2027 →Next meeting at this venueKilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian13 Mar 2027 →