Kilmarnock FC 1-1 Heart of Midlothian F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 19 Sep 2026 16:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.50%
- Kilmarnock FC
- Draw
- Heart of Midlothian F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 49.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Kilmarnock FC won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Heart of Midlothian F.C.'s last 4 produced 11 goals — 2.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Kilmarnock FC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Kilmarnock FC: DWDDL
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: DLWW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-01-25 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 3–2 |
| 2024-12-15 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-30 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 16:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.