Dundee F.C.vs
Motherwell FCDundee F.C. vs Motherwell FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC40%
- Dundee F.C. 37%
- Draw 23%
- Motherwell FC 40%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 39.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Dundee F.C. won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Dundee F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Dundee F.C.: WDLWW
Motherwell FC: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Dundee F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Dundee F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Dundee F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 4–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Dundee vs Motherwell FC | 2–3 |
| 2023-12-02 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee | 3–3 |
| 2023-08-05 | Dundee vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-05 | Motherwell FC vs Dundee | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Dundee F.C. vs Motherwell FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Dundee F.C. vs Motherwell FC kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Dundee F.C. vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.