Falkirk F.C.vs
Dundee F.C.Falkirk F.C. vs Dundee F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Falkirk F.C.55%
- Falkirk F.C. 55%
- Draw 22%
- Dundee F.C. 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Falkirk F.C., rating it at 55.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Falkirk F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Dundee F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Falkirk F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Dundee F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL
Dundee F.C.: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Falkirk F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Dundee F.C. vs Falkirk F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Falkirk F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Falkirk F.C. vs Dundee F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Falkirk F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Falkirk F.C. vs Dundee F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Falkirk F.C. vs Dundee F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.