Hamilton Academical FCvs
Motherwell FCHamilton Academical FC 0-1 Motherwell FC — Result, H2H & Form
Scottish Premiership 2020-2021Wed, 21 Apr 2021 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC50%
- Hamilton Academical FC 26%
- Draw 24%
- Motherwell FC 50%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Hamilton Academical FC won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Motherwell FC's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Hamilton Academical FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Hamilton Academical FC: WLDWL
Motherwell FC: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-21 | Hamilton Academical FC vs Motherwell FC | 0–1 |
| 2021-02-13 | Motherwell FC vs Hamilton Academical FC | 1–4 |
| 2021-01-02 | Hamilton Academical FC vs Motherwell FC | 3–0 |
| 2020-08-22 | Motherwell FC vs Hamilton Academical FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hamilton Academical FC vs Motherwell FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamilton Academical FC vs Motherwell FC kick off?
- Wed, 21 Apr 2021 17:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership 2020-2021.
- What is the Hamilton Academical FC vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.