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Motherwell FC crestMotherwell FCvsHibernian F.C. crestHibernian F.C.

Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scottish PremiershipSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Motherwell FC42%

Motherwell FC 42%
Draw 25%
Hibernian F.C. 33%
  • Motherwell FC 42%
  • Draw 25%
  • Hibernian F.C. 33%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Motherwell FC won 3 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Motherwell FC: WWLLW

Hibernian F.C.: WLWLL

Head-to-head

  • 9Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 56%Both scored
  • 44%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC0–1
2026-03-21Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C.0–0
2026-01-10Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC1–1
2025-11-25Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C.2–0
2025-01-11Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC3–1
2024-11-30Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C.0–3
2024-10-05Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC1–2
2024-05-15Hibernian FC vs Motherwell FC
2024-04-13Motherwell FC vs Hibernian FC1–1
2024-01-02Hibernian FC vs Motherwell FC2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. kick off?
Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

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