Motherwell FCvs
Hibernian F.C.Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC42%
- Motherwell FC 42%
- Draw 25%
- Hibernian F.C. 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Motherwell FC won 4 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Motherwell FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Hibernian F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Motherwell FC: DLLDW
Hibernian F.C.: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.22Avg goals
- 56%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-10-05 | Hibernian F.C. vs Motherwell FC | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Hibernian FC vs Motherwell FC | — |
| 2024-04-13 | Motherwell FC vs Hibernian FC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs Hibernian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.22 goals per game.