AD Ceutavs
Cultural LeonesaAD Ceuta 3-1 Cultural Leonesa — Result, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 26 Jan 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AD Ceuta55%
- AD Ceuta 55%
- Draw 24%
- Cultural Leonesa 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AD Ceuta, rating it at 54.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AD Ceuta won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AD Ceuta's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Cultural Leonesa's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
AD Ceuta: LLLWW
Cultural Leonesa: DDWDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | AD Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Cultural Leonesa vs AD Ceuta | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AD Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa?
- Tofiko's model favours AD Ceuta (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AD Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa kick off?
- Mon, 26 Jan 2026 19:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the AD Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.