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AD Ceuta crestAD CeutavsRacing de Santander crestRacing de Santander

AD Ceuta vs Racing de Santander Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 26 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: AD Ceuta 00 Racing de Santander

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander49%

AD Ceuta 31%
Draw 20%
Racing de Santander 49%
  • AD Ceuta 31%
  • Draw 20%
  • Racing de Santander 49%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Racing de Santander, rating it at 48.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and AD Ceuta won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AD Ceuta: WWLLW

Racing de Santander: DWLLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26AD Ceuta vs Racing de Santander0–0
2025-08-30Racing de Santander vs AD Ceuta4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AD Ceuta vs Racing de Santander?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (49% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AD Ceuta vs Racing de Santander kick off?
Sun, 26 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the AD Ceuta vs Racing de Santander head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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