AD Ceutavs
Real ValladolidAD Ceuta vs Real Valladolid Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AD Ceuta55%
- AD Ceuta 55%
- Draw 26%
- Real Valladolid 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AD Ceuta, rating it at 55.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AD Ceuta won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AD Ceuta: WWLLW
Real Valladolid: WLWDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | AD Ceuta vs Real Valladolid | 0–3 |
| 2025-08-15 | Real Valladolid vs AD Ceuta | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AD Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours AD Ceuta (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AD Ceuta vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the AD Ceuta vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.