UD Almeria crestUD AlmeriavsBurgos CF crestBurgos CF

UD Almeria 2-1 Burgos CF — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 03 Oct 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UD Almeria43%

Tofiko43% / 26% / 31%
Market62% / 22% / 16%
  • UD Almeria
  • Draw
  • Burgos CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 43.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

UD Almeria: WWWWW

Burgos CF: LLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-03UD Almeria vs Burgos CF2–1
2026-05-09Burgos CF vs UD Almeria0–0
2025-12-14UD Almeria vs Burgos CF1–2

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FAQ

Who will win UD Almeria vs Burgos CF?
Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UD Almeria vs Burgos CF kick off?
Sat, 03 Oct 2026 14:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the UD Almeria vs Burgos CF head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBurgos vs Almeria15 Feb 2027 →