UD Almeriavs
Burgos CFUD Almeria vs Burgos CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 04 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria44%
- UD Almeria 44%
- Draw 28%
- Burgos CF 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 44.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Almeria: WWLLW
Burgos CF: LWDWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Burgos CF vs UD Almeria | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | UD Almeria vs Burgos CF | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Burgos CF?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Burgos CF kick off?
- Sun, 04 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Burgos CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.