UD Almeriavs
Deportivo de La CorunaUD Almeria 1-2 Deportivo de La Coruna — Result, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 17 Jan 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria44%
- UD Almeria 44%
- Draw 22%
- Deportivo de La Coruna 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 44.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
UD Almeria: LLWWW
Deportivo de La Coruna: WDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | UD Almeria vs Deportivo de La Coruna | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Deportivo de La Coruna vs UD Almeria | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Deportivo de La Coruna?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Deportivo de La Coruna kick off?
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 20:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Deportivo de La Coruna head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.