Espanyolvs
AlmeriaEspanyol 3-3 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2022-2023Sun, 04 Jun 2023 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Espanyol53%
- Espanyol 53%
- Draw 22%
- Almeria 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Espanyol, rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Espanyol won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Espanyol's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Espanyol: LLWLD
Almeria: LLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-04 | Espanyol vs Almeria | 3–3 |
| 2023-01-27 | Almeria vs Espanyol | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Espanyol vs Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours Espanyol (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Espanyol vs Almeria kick off?
- Sun, 04 Jun 2023 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2022-2023.
- What is the Espanyol vs Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.