Almeriavs
GetafeAlmeria 1-3 Getafe — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 27 Apr 2024 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Getafe38%
- Almeria 36%
- Draw 26%
- Getafe 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Getafe, rating it at 37.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Almeria: LLWWW
Getafe: LLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-27 | Almeria vs Getafe | 1–3 |
| 2023-11-25 | Getafe vs Almeria | 2–1 |
| 2023-04-26 | Getafe vs Almeria | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-09 | Almeria vs Getafe | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Getafe?
- Tofiko's model favours Getafe (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Almeria vs Getafe kick off?
- Sat, 27 Apr 2024 14:15 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Almeria vs Getafe head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.