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UD Almeria crestUD AlmeriavsCD Mirandes crestCD Mirandes

UD Almeria vs CD Mirandes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 04 May 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: UD Almeria 42 CD Mirandes

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UD Almeria69%

UD Almeria 69%
Draw 18%
CD Mirandes 14%
  • UD Almeria 69%
  • Draw 18%
  • CD Mirandes 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 68.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 17.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

UD Almeria: WWLLW

CD Mirandes: LLWDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-04UD Almeria vs CD Mirandes4–2
2026-01-10CD Mirandes vs UD Almeria2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win UD Almeria vs CD Mirandes?
Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UD Almeria vs CD Mirandes kick off?
Mon, 04 May 2026 18:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the UD Almeria vs CD Mirandes head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

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