Almeriavs
OsasunaAlmeria 0-3 Osasuna — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 30 Mar 2024 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Osasuna41%
- Almeria 35%
- Draw 24%
- Osasuna 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Osasuna, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Almeria: LLWWW
Osasuna: WWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-30 | Almeria vs Osasuna | 0–3 |
| 2024-01-04 | Osasuna vs Almeria | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Osasuna vs Almeria | 3–1 |
| 2022-09-12 | Almeria vs Osasuna | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Osasuna?
- Tofiko's model favours Osasuna (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Almeria vs Osasuna kick off?
- Sat, 30 Mar 2024 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Almeria vs Osasuna head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.