Almeriavs
SevillaAlmeria 2-2 Sevilla — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Mon, 11 Mar 2024 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sevilla42%
- Almeria 35%
- Draw 23%
- Sevilla 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sevilla, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Almeria: LLWWW
Sevilla: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-11 | Almeria vs Sevilla | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-26 | Sevilla vs Almeria | 5–1 |
| 2023-03-12 | Sevilla vs Almeria | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Almeria vs Sevilla | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Sevilla?
- Tofiko's model favours Sevilla (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Almeria vs Sevilla kick off?
- Mon, 11 Mar 2024 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Almeria vs Sevilla head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.