UD Almeria crestUD AlmeriavsSporting de Gijon crestSporting de Gijon

UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon Prediction, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

UD Almeria to win60%

1X2: model backs UD Almeria at 60%.

Tofiko60% / 22% / 18%
  • UD Almeria
  • Draw
  • Sporting de Gijon

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • UD Almeria or draw82%
  • Draw or Sporting de Gijon40%
  • UD Almeria or Sporting de Gijon78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.568%
  • Under 2.532%

Both teams to score

  • UD Almeria, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Sporting de Gijon, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (468 games)55%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 60.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 46 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

UD Almeria: WWWWW

Sporting de Gijon: WWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 46 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Sporting de Gijon vs UD Almeria3–1
2025-09-20UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon2–1

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FAQ

Who will win UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon?
Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon kick off?
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSporting Gijon vs Almeria30 May 2027 →