UD Almeriavs
Sporting de GijonUD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 30 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria60%
- UD Almeria 60%
- Draw 22%
- Sporting de Gijon 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 60.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Almeria: WWLLW
Sporting de Gijon: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Sporting de Gijon vs UD Almeria | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon kick off?
- Mon, 30 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.