Sporting de Gijon crestSporting de GijonvsUD Almeria crestUD Almeria

Sporting de Gijon vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Sporting de Gijon or draw68%

1X2: model backs Sporting de Gijon at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko43% / 24% / 32%
  • Sporting de Gijon
  • Draw
  • UD Almeria

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Sporting de Gijon or draw68%
  • Draw or UD Almeria57%
  • Sporting de Gijon or UD Almeria76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.567%
  • Under 2.533%

Both teams to score

  • Sporting de Gijon, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • UD Almeria, last 10 away games0 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (468 games)55%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting de Gijon, rating it at 43.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sporting de Gijon won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sporting de Gijon: WWLWL

UD Almeria: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Sporting de Gijon vs UD Almeria3–1
2025-09-20UD Almeria vs Sporting de Gijon2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Sporting de Gijon vs UD Almeria?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting de Gijon (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting de Gijon vs UD Almeria kick off?
Sun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Sporting de Gijon vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAlmeria vs Sporting Gijon29 Nov 2026 →