Almeriavs
VillarrealAlmeria 1-2 Villarreal — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Sun, 21 Apr 2024 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal59%
- Almeria
- Draw
- Villarreal
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Villarreal, rating it at 58.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Villarreal's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Villarreal's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Almeria: WWWLL
Villarreal: WWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-21 | Almeria vs Villarreal | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-17 | Villarreal vs Almeria | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Almeria vs Villarreal | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-23 | Villarreal(N) vs Almeria | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Villarreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Almeria vs Villarreal kick off?
- Sun, 21 Apr 2024 14:15 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Almeria vs Villarreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.