Burgos CF crestBurgos CFvsAD Ceuta crestAD Ceuta

Burgos CF 3-1 AD Ceuta — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionFri, 11 Sep 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Burgos CF59%

Tofiko59% / 24% / 17%
Market60% / 24% / 16%
  • Burgos CF
  • Draw
  • AD Ceuta

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Burgos CF, rating it at 59.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Burgos CF won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Burgos CF: WWDDL

AD Ceuta: DLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-11Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta3–1
2026-04-01Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta1–1
2025-11-29AD Ceuta vs Burgos CF1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta?
Tofiko's model favours Burgos CF (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta kick off?
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAD Ceuta FC vs Burgos6 Jun 2027 →