Burgos CFvs
AD CeutaBurgos CF vs AD Ceuta Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Burgos CF64%
- Burgos CF 64%
- Draw 24%
- AD Ceuta 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Burgos CF, rating it at 63.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Burgos CF won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Burgos CF: LWDWW
AD Ceuta: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | AD Ceuta vs Burgos CF | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta?
- Tofiko's model favours Burgos CF (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.