Burgos CF crestBurgos CFvsReal Zaragoza crestReal Zaragoza

Burgos CF 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 21 Dec 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Burgos CF59%

Tofiko59% / 26% / 15%
Market46% / 30% / 23%
  • Burgos CF
  • Draw
  • Real Zaragoza

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Burgos CF, rating it at 58.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Burgos CF won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Real Zaragoza's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Burgos CF's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • Real Zaragoza's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

Burgos CF: LLWWW

Real Zaragoza: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Real Zaragoza vs Burgos CF0–1
2025-12-21Burgos CF vs Real Zaragoza1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Burgos CF vs Real Zaragoza?
Tofiko's model favours Burgos CF (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burgos CF vs Real Zaragoza kick off?
Sun, 21 Dec 2025 17:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Burgos CF vs Real Zaragoza head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legZaragoza 0-1 Burgos28 Feb 2026 →