Cadiz crestCadizvsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Cadiz 2-0 Atletico Madrid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 09 Mar 2024 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid60%

  • Cadiz 17%
  • Draw 23%
  • Atletico Madrid 60%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 60.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Cadiz won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Cadiz: DWDDL

Atletico Madrid: WDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 88%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-03-09Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid2–0
2023-10-01Atletico Madrid vs Cadiz3–2
2023-05-03Atletico Madrid vs Cadiz5–1
2022-10-29Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid3–2
2022-03-11Atletico Madrid vs Cadiz2–1
2021-11-28Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid1–4
2021-01-31Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid2–4
2020-11-07Atletico Madrid vs Cadiz4–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Sat, 09 Mar 2024 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

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