CD Castellonvs
AD CeutaCD Castellon vs AD Ceuta Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 04 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CD Castellon66%
- CD Castellon 66%
- Draw 21%
- AD Ceuta 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick CD Castellon, rating it at 66.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and CD Castellon won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
CD Castellon: DLDWW
AD Ceuta: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | AD Ceuta vs CD Castellon | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | CD Castellon vs AD Ceuta | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CD Castellon vs AD Ceuta?
- Tofiko's model favours CD Castellon (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Castellon vs AD Ceuta kick off?
- Sun, 04 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the CD Castellon vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.