SD Eibar 2-4 Malaga CF — Result, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 02 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SD Eibar48%
Tofiko48% / 26% / 27%
Market47% / 29% / 25%
- SD Eibar
- Draw
- Malaga CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick SD Eibar, rating it at 47.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and SD Eibar won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. SD Eibar's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Malaga CF's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- SD Eibar's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
SD Eibar: LWWWW
Malaga CF: DLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | SD Eibar vs Malaga CF | 2–4 |
| 2025-08-16 | Malaga CF vs SD Eibar | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SD Eibar vs Malaga CF?
- Tofiko's model favours SD Eibar (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SD Eibar vs Malaga CF kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the SD Eibar vs Malaga CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.