Eibar crestEibarvsVillarreal crestVillarreal

Eibar 1-3 Villarreal — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2020-2021Sun, 14 Mar 2021 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Villarreal59%

Tofiko18% / 23% / 59%
Market30% / 28% / 42%
  • Eibar
  • Draw
  • Villarreal

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal, rating it at 59.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Eibar won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Villarreal's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Eibar's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Villarreal's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Eibar: WWWWW

Villarreal: WWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-03-14Eibar vs Villarreal1–3
2020-09-19Villarreal vs Eibar2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Eibar vs Villarreal?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Eibar vs Villarreal kick off?
Sun, 14 Mar 2021 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
What is the Eibar vs Villarreal head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legVillarreal 2-1 Eibar19 Sept 2020 →