Granada CF crestGranada CFvsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Granada CF 0-1 Atletico Madrid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Mon, 22 Jan 2024 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid66%

  • Granada CF 14%
  • Draw 20%
  • Atletico Madrid 66%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 65.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Granada CF won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Granada CF: WWDWL

Atletico Madrid: WDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-01-22Granada CF vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2023-08-14Atletico Madrid vs Granada CF3–1
2022-04-20Atletico Madrid vs Granada CF0–0
2021-12-22Granada CF vs Atletico Madrid2–1
2021-02-13Granada CF vs Atletico Madrid1–2
2020-09-27Atletico Madrid vs Granada CF6–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Granada CF vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Granada CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Mon, 22 Jan 2024 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Granada CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.