Granada CFvs
Malaga CFGranada CF vs Malaga CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 28 Feb 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Granada CF 0–1 Malaga CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Granada CF38%
- Granada CF 38%
- Draw 25%
- Malaga CF 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Granada CF, rating it at 37.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Granada CF won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Malaga CF's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Granada CF's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Malaga CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Granada CF: LWWWD
Malaga CF: LWDDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Granada CF vs Malaga CF | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Malaga CF vs Granada CF | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Granada CF vs Malaga CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Granada CF (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Granada CF vs Malaga CF kick off?
- Sat, 28 Feb 2026 17:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Granada CF vs Malaga CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.