Granada CF crestGranada CFvsReal Madrid crestReal Madrid

Granada CF 0-4 Real Madrid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 11 May 2024 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid73%

  • Granada CF 10%
  • Draw 17%
  • Real Madrid 73%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid, rating it at 72.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Granada CF won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 17.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Granada CF: WWDWL

Real Madrid: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-11Granada CF vs Real Madrid0–4
2023-12-02Real Madrid vs Granada CF2–0
2022-02-06Real Madrid vs Granada CF1–0
2021-11-21Granada CF vs Real Madrid1–4
2021-05-13Granada CF vs Real Madrid1–4
2020-12-23Real Madrid vs Granada CF2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Granada CF vs Real Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Granada CF vs Real Madrid kick off?
Sat, 11 May 2024 16:30 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Granada CF vs Real Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

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