Athletic Bilbaovs
UD Las PalmasAthletic Bilbao 1-0 UD Las Palmas — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Wed, 23 Apr 2025 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao60%
- Athletic Bilbao 60%
- Draw 24%
- UD Las Palmas 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 59.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Athletic Bilbao won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Athletic Bilbao vs UD Las Palmas | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-15 | UD Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–3 |
| 2024-03-10 | Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs UD Las Palmas?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
- Wed, 23 Apr 2025 17:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.