UD Las Palmasvs
Atletico MadridUD Las Palmas 1-0 Atletico Madrid — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 19 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid60%
- UD Las Palmas 17%
- Draw 23%
- Atletico Madrid 60%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 59.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
Atletico Madrid: WDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | UD Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Atletico Madrid vs UD Las Palmas | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas | 5–0 |
| 2023-11-03 | Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sat, 19 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.