UD Las Palmasvs
FC BarcelonaUD Las Palmas 0-2 FC Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 22 Feb 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona68%
- UD Las Palmas 12%
- Draw 20%
- FC Barcelona 68%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 67.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | UD Las Palmas vs FC Barcelona | 0–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | FC Barcelona vs UD Las Palmas | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-30 | Barcelona vs Las Palmas | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-04 | Las Palmas vs Barcelona | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sat, 22 Feb 2025 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.