UD Las Palmasvs
CD LeganesUD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes Prediction, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionFri, 04 Sep 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Las Palmas64%
- UD Las Palmas 64%
- Draw 25%
- CD Leganes 11%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Las Palmas, rating it at 63.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. UD Las Palmas's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. CD Leganes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
CD Leganes: WWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-20 | CD Leganes vs UD Las Palmas | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-18 | UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes | 0–1 |
| 2024-08-25 | CD Leganes vs UD Las Palmas | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Las Palmas (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes kick off?
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.