UD Las Palmas crestUD Las PalmasvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

UD Las Palmas 0-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Fri, 09 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano37%

Tofiko36% / 28% / 37%
Market38% / 29% / 34%
  • UD Las Palmas
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 36.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. UD Las Palmas's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

UD Las Palmas: LWDLW

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-09UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2024-11-08Rayo Vallecano vs UD Las Palmas1–3
2024-01-20Rayo Vallecano vs Las Palmas0–2
2023-10-22Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Fri, 09 May 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legRayo Vallecano 1-3 Las Palmas8 Nov 2024 →