UD Las Palmasvs
Rayo VallecanoUD Las Palmas 0-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Fri, 09 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano37%
- UD Las Palmas 36%
- Draw 28%
- Rayo Vallecano 37%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 36.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 36.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-09 | UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-08 | Rayo Vallecano vs UD Las Palmas | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-20 | Rayo Vallecano vs Las Palmas | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-22 | Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Fri, 09 May 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.