Sevilla FC crestSevilla FCvsUD Las Palmas crestUD Las Palmas

Sevilla FC 1-0 UD Las Palmas — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Tue, 13 May 2025 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sevilla FC55%

  • Sevilla FC 55%
  • Draw 24%
  • UD Las Palmas 21%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sevilla FC, rating it at 54.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Sevilla FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Sevilla FC: LWWLW

UD Las Palmas: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-13Sevilla FC vs UD Las Palmas1–0
2024-08-16UD Las Palmas vs Sevilla FC2–2
2024-04-14Las Palmas vs Sevilla0–2
2023-09-17Sevilla vs Las Palmas1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sevilla FC vs UD Las Palmas?
Tofiko's model favours Sevilla FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sevilla FC vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
Tue, 13 May 2025 19:30 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the Sevilla FC vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.