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UD Las Palmas crestUD Las PalmasvsReal Zaragoza crestReal Zaragoza

UD Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 24 May 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: UD Las Palmas 11 Real Zaragoza

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UD Las Palmas70%

UD Las Palmas 70%
Draw 22%
Real Zaragoza 8%
  • UD Las Palmas 70%
  • Draw 22%
  • Real Zaragoza 8%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick UD Las Palmas, rating it at 70.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and UD Las Palmas won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

UD Las Palmas: LWLLD

Real Zaragoza: LLWLD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24UD Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza1–1
2026-01-04Real Zaragoza vs UD Las Palmas1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza?
Tofiko's model favours UD Las Palmas (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UD Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza kick off?
Sun, 24 May 2026 16:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the UD Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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