CD Leganesvs
Atletico MadridCD Leganes 1-0 Atletico Madrid — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 18 Jan 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid57%
- CD Leganes 21%
- Draw 22%
- Atletico Madrid 57%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 56.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and CD Leganes won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Atletico Madrid's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. CD Leganes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
CD Leganes: WWDDW
Atletico Madrid: WDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | CD Leganes vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Atletico Madrid vs CD Leganes | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Leganes vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Leganes vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sat, 18 Jan 2025 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the CD Leganes vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.