CD Leganesvs
RCD EspanyolCD Leganes 3-2 RCD Espanyol — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sun, 11 May 2025 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CD Leganes44%
- CD Leganes 44%
- Draw 25%
- RCD Espanyol 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick CD Leganes, rating it at 44.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and CD Leganes won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. RCD Espanyol's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. CD Leganes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
CD Leganes: WWDDW
RCD Espanyol: LLWLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-11 | CD Leganes vs RCD Espanyol | 3–2 |
| 2025-01-11 | RCD Espanyol vs CD Leganes | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Leganes vs RCD Espanyol?
- Tofiko's model favours CD Leganes (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Leganes vs RCD Espanyol kick off?
- Sun, 11 May 2025 12:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the CD Leganes vs RCD Espanyol head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.